Table 2 Aggregated results for SE Asian events

C3

0.62

0.94

0.53

0.9

9.7

4.0

0.57

(0.49,0.72)

(0.92,0.96)

(0.42,0.64)

(0.93,0.97)

C2

0.53

0.96

0.61

0.92

6.6

3.9

0.57

(0.41,0.66)

(0.95,0.98)

(0.47,0.73)

(0.93,0.97)

W2

0.50

0.97

0.62

0.92

6.5

3.8

0.55

(0.38,062)

(0.95,0.98)

(0.48,0.74)

(0.92,0.96)

F-stat

0.76

0.83

0.42

0.82

20.9

5.0

0.54

(0.67,0.84)

(0.80,0.86)

(0.35,0.50)

(0.94,0.97)

EWMA

0.55

0.95

0.6

0.91

7.8

3.9

0.57

(0.43,0.66)

(0.93,0.97)

(0.47,0.71)

(0.92,0.96)

All language news8 (SE Asia)

model

Se

Sp

PPV

NPV

Alarms^A

Days^B

F1

C3

0.71

0.91

0.50

0.89

13.4

4.9

0.59

(0.60,0.80)

(0.88,0.93)

(0.41,0.59)

(0.94,0.97)

C2

0.62

0.94

0.50

0.91

8.3

4.3

0.55

(0.48,0.74)

(0.92,0.96)

(0.38,0.62)

(0.94,0.98)

W2

0.61

0.94

0.53

0.91

17.1

4.6

0.57

(0.49,0.73)

(0.92,0.96)

(0.41,0.65)

(0.94,0.97)

F-stat

0.90

0.77

0.47

0.79

30.7

5.8

0.62

(0.84,0.94)

(0.73,0.80)

(0.40,0.53)

(0.95,0.98)

EWMA

0.53

0.94

0.48

0.89

8.1

3.9

0.50

(0.40,0.65)

(0.91,0.96)

(0.36,0.61)

(0.92,0.96)